The best precedent for this is perhaps the Helms–Burton Act, which extended U.S. sanctions on Cuba toward any foreign company doing business with both Cuba and the U.S. at the same time. When President Bill Clinton signed that law in 1996, several countries accused the U.S. of violating their sovereignty, passing their own laws to make the U.S. regulation effectively unenforceable. As it has often done with Israel, America may at some point try to limit Ukraine’s ambitions.
- There was, as forecast, a full invasion from multiple directions with the purpose of toppling and replacing the Zelensky government.
- China intervenes, putting pressure on Moscow to compromise, warning that it will not buy Russian oil and gas unless it de-escalates.
- Unnamed Indian government sources have suggested India wants to distance itself from Russia, according to Reuters news agency.
- Meanwhile, sanctions on Russia would remain; its economic and military strength would continue to erode; and Putin could only watch as his frozen assets abroad are drawn down to pay for Ukraine’s reconstruction.
- When President Bill Clinton signed that law in 1996, several countries accused the U.S. of violating their sovereignty, passing their own laws to make the U.S. regulation effectively unenforceable.
It's widely accepted that several innovations now need to happen at once for the front lines to change significantly. A new £2.5bn military aid package from the UK has been welcomed here, with £200m of that earmarked specifically for drones. But President Volodymyr Zelensky has also pledged to make a million of them within the borders of Ukraine. This time it makes it through, and Artem returns to the block of flats.
After a year of war in Ukraine, all signs point to more misery with no end in sight
We political scientists hold that opponents fight in order to find that something that makes peace possible. You must get them to agree that making a deal now is better than to continue fighting. In public both sides agree that at some point negotiations will be necessary to end this war, even while doubting that there can be fruitful discussions right now. As the earlier talks demonstrated, one cannot say that fighting and talking are exclusive.
Senior Ukrainians are still doing their best to manage expectations about the summer offensive. They believe some of their Western allies, as well as supporters in the media, have become over-excited about Ukraine's army and its Nato equipment. When I asked the official who wanted to remain anonymous about recent tactical gains in the east, including a handful of small villages, he lifted his hand with his finger and thumb pinching the air perhaps half an inch apart. Another senior official, who spoke on condition he was not named, went further, suggesting that President Putin would be forced to dismiss his Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of Staff General Valery Gerasimov, perhaps as a response to another military setback. Mykhailo Podolyak, another close adviser to President Zelensky, agreed there were "several groups of people who want to take power in Russia". In his office, Oleksiy Danilov, the secretary of Ukraine's National Security and Defence Council, told the BBC that "Prigozhin is not the most senior. They might become the new political elite".
Ukraine invasion — explained
The US played a key role in deposing a friendly and elected President in Ukraine in 2014. There can be no solution that does not give these concerns due weight. The attacking Egyptian army was drastically defeated by the Israelis. Well, it’s because the Egyptian army showed that they were able to cross the Suez Canal and with it all the booby traps and barricades that Israel had built on the Suez Canal.
Ukraine’s partners would promise “multi-decade” investments in the country’s defence industry, massive weapons transfers, training, joint exercises and intelligence support. The compact would require neither Russia’s assent nor Ukraine’s neutrality. In some circumstances, there could be military intervention to help Ukraine. Through this the Kremlin has shown little interest in a political settlement other than a Ukrainian capitulation.
World’s biggest tigers on rampage killing humans & invading Putin's cities
Putin’s latest pronouncements comparing himself to the Tsar Peter the Great and declaring all of the old Soviet Union Russian territory should further dispel any illusions about his great power policy. No amount of pro-war propaganda nor intervention by state disinformation organs and functionaries is going to change the growth of anti-imperialist sentiment. From the start, the conflict in Ukraine has posed special challenges for the anti-war movement, marking as it does, a great power conflict rather than the neo-colonial wars we have seen previously this century. The Biden administration has said the war must end before Ukraine can join NATO, because it does not want to risk direct U.S. involvement. But it has not defined what it means, in this context, for the war to be “over.” Must there be a formal peace treaty?
But it is not beyond the realms of plausibility that such a scenario could emerge from the wreckage of a bloody conflict. A second way for Ukraine to win — at least theoretically — would be through a diplomatic agreement. Any settlement based on that plan would, of course, be wonderful. The differences should be negotiated peacefully, respecting Ukrainian rights and Russian security concerns. Our focus is, however, on the British government – how it has contributed to the present situation through its post-Cold War policy of backing NATO expansion and moving its own troops eastwards, and how its bellicose rhetoric and arms sales are aggravating it now. Our contribution to peace must lie in forcing our own government to assist de-escalation of the crisis.
Ultimately, he says, whether the war in Ukraine lasts weeks, months, or years, depends on individual actions that run the gamut from those of world leaders, to ordinary citizens and soldiers. From the very beginning of the war, President Putin has drawn parallels between the Soviet Union's victory over Nazi Germany in World War II and the current military campaign against supposed "neo-Nazis" in Ukraine. That hasn't let up, if only because it's a powerful emotional and recruitment tool. Twenty million Soviets — Russians, Ukrainians and others — died fighting Hitler's armies. There seems to be some degree of sensitivity in Ukraine to Russia's claims it's waging a proxy war with the West over Ukraine.
This experience demonstrates that we should not necessarily assume that the best way to deal with an ongoing war is to urge negotiations to bring it to a quick conclusion based on mutual concessions. When both sides acknowledge that they have no chance of victory, then a negotiation may make sense. But the most stable outcomes are those resulting from one side prevailing, especially when the defeated side has been engaged, as Russia has in Ukraine, in an unwelcome and oppressive occupation of another state’s territory. The same phenomenon could be observed in the Indo-Pakistani War of 1971, as India pressed forward in December with its invasion of East Pakistan – which as a result became Bangladesh. In this case India’s leaders obtained the Pakistani forces’ surrender before the Security Council could pass a resolution.
- "That day people went from 'Why are you being so hysterical?' to 'Why weren't you more hysterical?'" says the official.
- Sanctions on Russia have led to skyrocketing inflation, impacting the price of gas and food, with the price of cereal climbing 11% in the US.
- The first new NASAMS anti-aircraft batteries were deployed this week.
- If Kyiv did not wage war on the people of Donetsk and Luhansk, there would have been no need for Russia’s special military operation, he added.
The alternative is endless great power conflict with all the attendant waste of resources and danger of bloodshed and destruction. This dispute could and should be resolved peacefully, and that remains the only basis for a lasting settlement, rather than the imposition of military solutions. That it has not been resolved is not, however, the responsibility of the Russian or Ukrainian governments alone.
- For Ukraine’s sake, we need to stop him now, one way or the other, before nothing is left of the country we want to protect.
- But at least they felt they had tried to stop a war whose scale they had been warning of for months.
- “Ukraine will never be a victory for Russia — never,” President Joe Biden said in a speech in Poland this year, and rightly so.
- Ukraine will do all it can to keep pressure on the Russians there to make it untenable for the Russian navy in Sevastopol, the handful of air force bases there and their logistics base at Dzankoy.
- In other words, actions taken by the Council are binding on all UN member countries.
These are the processes that went so badly wrong in Afghanistan in August 2021. These examples all come from wars that were decided through battles between regular forces. Many wars are of a different type – civil wars, for example, in which the regular forces of the state face irregular opponents, relying on terrorism or guerrilla warfare, sometimes with both sides having external supporters. There were a series of such conflicts after 1945, as the European empires struggled to hold on to their colonies until they realised that they were bound to lose. For those who believe the priority must be to stop the bloodshed, this can be hard to fathom. As soon as a war starts outsiders will step forward with proposals to end the fighting and resolve the underlying dispute.
The prospects for an end of the war in Ukraine remain bleak. Compared with this time last year, Vladimir Putin is stronger, politically more than militarily. Ukraine gained independence when the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991 and has since become friendly towards Nato and the West. But this isn't the first time Russia has launched a military attack in this region.