On what terms could the war in Ukraine stop?

· 8 min read
On what terms could the war in Ukraine stop?

It leaves no doubt about the result and allows all parties to move on. With Pakistan’s surrender to India, Bangladesh became established as a new state and, while the Falklands War did not lead to Argentina abandoning its territorial claim, there has been no second round. An immediate result of the defeat was that the military junta in Buenos Aires resigned, allowing a return to democracy, just as Pakistan’s military dictator, General Yahya Khan, gave up after he had presided over such a stunning defeat.  https://euronewstop.co.uk/when-will-the-war-in-ukraine-end.html  is, there are only two ways to stop the war quickly, and neither is palatable to most western leaders. Surely, if the lives of Ukrainian people are our concern then the west has to do something to stop the war – now.

what will stop the war in ukraine

I think the West may demand a return to the status quo ante. Maybe Ukraine would have to give up the entire administrative region of Luhansk and Donetsk. But Ukraine's air defenses were surprisingly effective, shooting down many Russian fighter jets and helicopters in the first couple months of the war.

Rochester expert on war termination applies possible scenarios to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Meanwhile, Indian thinktank Observer Research Foundation's Russia expert, Nandan Unnikrishnan, said India was unlikely to sign "any major military deal" with Russia because it would cross a red line with the US. "A frank and constructive dialogue is expected to improve relations between states," the Ukrainian president's office said on its official channel on the Telegram messaging app alongside a photo of Mr Szijjarto, Mr Kuleba and Mr Yermak. Mr Szijarto will be in the western Ukrainian city of Uzhhorod with his Ukrainian counterpart Dmytro Kuleba and presidential chief of staff Andriy Yermak. Peter Szijjarto has arrived in Ukraine for talks with senior officials today.

"This is a factual paper which does not reflect the status of the ongoing negotiations. The note does not outline any specific plan relating to the [long-term EU budget] and Ukraine Facility, nor does it outline any plan relating to Hungary," it said. This neatly brings me back to Mr Putin, and makes the point that in the 21st century institutional quality, freedom of thinking and human development will continue to be important determinants of country success. Continued arms shipments to Ukraine presages a dangerous escalation that pushes the world to the brink of nuclear annihilation. But the uncertainty surrounding President Putin and his regime,  almost a year and a half into a disastrous war and after the Wagner drama, might feed the anxiety of those Nato countries who would prefer the war to end around the negotiating table, not on the battlefield.

  • Vladimir Putin launched a straightforward war of aggression and territorial conquest.
  • The head of NATO recently warned that the war could go on for years.
  • But it will give Russian forces a more easily defended line along the Dnieper river.
  • The Tories have taken the lead in talking up the prospect of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, to the point of a suspicion that they want it to happen, perhaps as a welcome distraction from Boris Johnson’s domestic political woes.
  • Must there be a period of months or years in which Russia does not fire a single shell into Ukraine?
  • It is true that Russia too has not implemented its obligations arising from Minsk, but it cannot be pretended that Ukraine is actually working for a peaceful resolution of the crisis.

In fact, in his speeches about Ukraine, he criticizes the Soviet leadership for creating Ukraine,  the Soviet republic that later became an independent country, on a whim. The Russian government largely ignores its own far-right networks — if only because they currently both share the same imperialist designs in Ukraine. As such, many Ukrainians are against the war, with "no war" becoming a common slogan. But polls show that does not equal pacifism, with the overwhelming majority of Ukrainians supporting a prolonged defensive war.

Stop the War Statement on Ukraine – 22/02/22

These obstruct payments even for countries which are not party to the sanctions themselves. Washington and London, backed by much of eastern Europe, have been pushing for open-ended military confrontation with Russia, while France, Germany and Italy have been keen to explore the possibilities of a negotiated end to the war. Since negotiations would require Ukraine as well as Russia to retreat from maximalist positions, the latter camp have been painted as “appeasers”. Putin’s invasion has shrunk in scope and is now focussed on the Donbas, although territory outside that region in the south of Ukraine is also under Russian occupation. Russian military performance remains apparently unimpressive and reliant on artillery bombardment, with devastating consequences. Even with this focus on Donbas, much of Donetsk region remains outside Russian control, and securing that has always been Putin’s minimum objective.

  • Maybe it takes longer for Russian forces to secure cities like Kyiv whose defenders fight from street to street.
  • Secondly, are the Russians really going to bomb Kyiv, a so-called “hero city of the Soviet Union,” into rubble like they did with Chechnya’s capital Grosny?
  • The Biden administration is making it clear that the UK will have to clamp down if sanctions are imposed, but the government has made no moves in that direction.
  • There have been other occasions since Iraq when intelligence has been made public, for instance over the use of chemical weapons in Syria, but never on the scale seen over Ukraine.
  • In his office, Oleksiy Danilov, the secretary of Ukraine's National Security and Defence Council, told the BBC that "Prigozhin is not the most senior. They might become the new political elite".

As we hug the side of the building and take cover in the stairwell, we're led inside from the freezing winter winds to the warmth of a militarised living room. However, Mr Orban's political director said this morning that Hungary was open to using the EU budget to allow further aid for Ukraine. A little earlier, we told you about a report in the Financial Times that the EU was proposing to sabotage Hungary's economy if Budapest blocks further aid for Ukraine this week. Mr Zelenskyy has called for public officials to disclose their incomes to increase transparency and eliminate corruption as Ukraine tries to meet the stringent requirements for its bid to join the European Union.

Russia's at war with Ukraine. Here's how we got here

It is possible that those prospects may increase, especially if some NATO states experience economic and social hardship. Accepting the idea of an eventual settlement that allows Russia a domestically acceptable, if minimal, outcome is still a very big call for the Zelenskyi government to make. There remains the issue of whether negotiations, however low level, are possible in the next three months. Prospects are currently low, even if some early moves have been reported in Ukraine and Russia, and some senior US officials have been more open about the need for a way out. Some, including many around Putin, will be hanging on to the original aim of installing a client regime in Kyiv and pushing NATO influence several hundred kilometres to the west, away from the Russian heartland. Russia lacks a decisive, breakthrough capability to overrun Ukraine and will do what it can to hold on to what it currently occupies, using the time to strengthen its defences while it hopes for the West to lose the will to continue supporting Ukraine.

The U.S. Congress approved four separate spending bills for Ukraine in the past year totaling $112 billion. The rest is funding the Ukrainian government (this helps pay the salaries of Ukrainian government workers) and humanitarian aid to help the millions of Ukrainians who have been driven from their homes. Ukraine expert Terrell Jermaine Starr recently told me, "every step that Ukrainians took towards Europe came as a direct result of Russian aggression." According to a poll by the independent Razumkov Centre, a majority of Ukrainians said they believe Ukraine is "heading in the right direction" in light of the war.

The US defence aid package is held hostage by what President Biden rightly labelled "petty politics" in Washington. And the future of the EU's economic aid is seemingly dependent on Hungary's incongruous stance. Russia invaded Ukraine early on February 24, 2022, with Putin describing the invasion as a "special military operation". On March 16, 2022, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that “neutral status is now being seriously discussed” and that “the sides are close to agreeing” on the specific terms of the agreement. One factor hindering negotiations could be Ukraine's desire for close ties with, and possible membership of Nato, something Russia see as totally unacceptable.

  • What those giant Cossacks might make of today’s Russian army would be interesting to know, especially with Monday’s ‘Victory Day’ military display in and around the Kremlin.
  • In a statement on October 11th, leaders of the G7 group of industrialised countries offered their “full support to Ukraine’s independence, territorial integrity and sovereignty in its internationally recognised borders”.
  • Our focus has to stay on shifting British government policy and opening up thereby prospects for a negotiated end to the war.
  • It is theoretically possible for the U.S. to sanction countries that maintain economic ties with Russia.
  • 5) Visit the offices of your House and Senate reps to press for a ceasefire, peace talks, and an end to weapons shipments.

France has recently sacked its head of military intelligence for failing to appreciate what was being planned. The current war in Ukraine, following the Russian invasion, has sparked all sorts of questions about the United Nations, particularly the role of the Security Council, the General Assembly and the Secretary-General. Josep Borrell, High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, said this is a “war of choice”, by President Putin. Ambassador Michel Xavier Biang of Gabon, which had also abstained on the new resolution, said the UN Charter forms the foundation for all nations’ existence. Recalling divergent views shared in the Council over the past year, he called for unity “to silence the guns in Ukraine”. In this vein, he called for creating a special tribunal with jurisdiction over the crime of aggression against Ukraine and the ability to deal with the personal immunities of principal perpetrators.

Encouraging the Ukrainians to continue, however just their cause, is merely making their country uninhabitable. The fact is, as time goes on, more towns and cities are destroyed and then fall to the Russians. In two months, the area under Russian control – originally just the breakaway parts of Donbas – has grown to perhaps five times the size.

That argument, however, should not distract from the far more important strand of public opinion which is concerned about the war, its consequences and the dangers of its extension, but nevertheless sympathise with Ukraine and support its right to resist. They are the people who need to be won over, to intervene in the crisis on the side of peace. Stop the War has risen to the occasion – we have been guided by our first principle, which is to challenge the warmongering of our own government, and to expose its responsibility for the crisis. The Coalition now has a higher level of political activity round the country than it has had for the last ten years, with more groups campaigning and out on the streets. The British government has played a provocative role in the present crisis, talking up war, decrying diplomacy as appeasement and escalating arms supplies and military deployments to Eastern Europe. Adding a democratic Ukraine in NATO would mark the utter and permanent defeat of Putin’s crusade to absorb it into a Russian empire.